Trainer Brad Cox could win his first Triple Crown race of his career when he saddles the favorite Essential Quality in the 2021 Belmont Stakes on Saturday at Belmont Park in Elmont, NY. The 41-year-old Cox has fielded horses that have won nearly 1,600 races and $90 million in revenue, but he has never saddled a Triple Crown race winner. On Saturday, he has a great opportunity with Essential Quality, who have five wins in six career starts and come in from fourth in the Kentucky Derby. Essential Quality is the 2-1 morning line favorite in the 2021 Belmont Stakes odds.
Surprise Preakness Stakes winner Rombauer gets 3-1 chances in the 2021 Belmont Stakes field, and Hot Rod Charlie, who finished third in Kentucky Derby, takes off 7-2. Post time for the 2021 $1.5 million Belmont Stakes is 6:49 PM ET. With an equally matched field to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you want see what race insider Bob Weir has to say before choosing Belmont Stakes for 2021.
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Based in Saratoga Springs, NY, Weir has handicapped and followed horse racing since reading Andy Beyer’s landmark handicap book “Picking Winners” in the late 1980s. Weir invested heavily in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to each race of a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicap. In fact, in 2017, thanks to his skill with speed figures and first-class handicaps, he ended up in one of only eight places on Beyer’s figure-making team, a position he holds to this day.
Weir’s methodology has yielded several five-figure days. In 2014, he earned a Pick 6 of $60,000 at Del Mar. The following year, he took a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas.
Last year, his first for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. On June 13, Weir hit a $2 superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that paid out a whopping $1,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $1,134.50. He hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July 2, and July 5, making the June 25 score a whopping $2,159.50.
This year, he beat the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby and Peter Pan Stakes and the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes, with the Tampa Bay Derby scoring $1,414. On May 16, he also hit the Pick 6 at Santa Anita Park. Everyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, Weir has handicapped the 2021 Belmont Stakes contenders, made his choices and constructed his bets. You can only see them here.
Top 2021 Belmont Stakes Predictions
After studying the results of each horse, Weir is not high on the odds of Preakness winner Rombauer, who is 3-1 on the morning line, only behind Essential Quality. A son of Twirling Candy, Rombauer is looking for his fourth win of his career. Three weeks ago in Baltimore, he got the early tempo fight he needed for his late kick and came from behind for a 3 1/2 length win.
But in the Preakness, he was a fresh horse, having skipped the Kentucky Derby. On Saturday, the roles are reversed; he will face several fresh horses that have skipped the Preakness. “Obviously a repeat of that Preakness race makes him a factor, but I think that was the day not to have him at 11-1 on Saturday with much lower odds against a tougher field,” he said. Weir to SportsLine. “I will only use it in third and fourth place.”
Another curveball: Weir is bullish on the odds of Known Agenda, who is 6-1 on the morning line; only three horses have longer chances. A late running colt, Known Agenda is looking for his fourth win in eight career starts. His greatest achievement of his career is winning the Grade 1 Florida Derby in March.
Well-known Calendar has the breeding to excel at the 1 1/2 miles away from the Belmont. He is a son of Curlin, one of the most influential long distance sires in American racing. “[Known Agenda’s] style makes him a strong contender for hitting the board,” Weir said. Weir will prominently use Known Agenda on all of his tickets.
How to choose Belmont Stakes for 2021, betting
Weir stands tall on two horses that “seem to be able to handle the extra distance of the Belmont.” He’s also high on an outsider who “could be tough.” Weir is including these horses in his Belmont Stakes bets for 2021, and so should you. He only shares at SportsLine which horses he should support.
So who will win the 2021 Belmont Stakes? And which outsider will shock horse racing? Check out the latest Belmont Stakes opportunities for 2021 below visit SportsLine to see Weir’s picks for the Belmont Stakes.
2021 Belmont Stakes horses, opportunities
|Hot Rod Charlie||7-2|
|Rock Your World||9-2|
|France Go de Ina||30-1|
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